RASNZ logo

Royal Astronomical Society of New Zealand

RASNZ Email-newsletter for the Month.


The RASNZ Email newsletter is distributed by email on or near the 20th of each month. If you would like to be on the circulation list email the editor for a copy. The latest issue is below.  

Links to the Enews for: March 2012       February 2012      


RASNZ Email Newsletter, April 2012

  ==================================================
.   Royal Astronomical Society of New Zealand
.   Email Newsletter Number 136, 27 April 2012 
==================================================
Affiliated Societies are welcome to reproduce any item in this email 
newsletter or on the RASNZ website http://www.rasnz.org.nz/
in their own newsletters provided an acknowledgement of the source is 
also included. 

Contents
--------
 1. Sun Viewers for Venus Transit 
 2. The Solar System in May
 3. RASNZ Annual General Meeting
 4. Third International Starlight Conference
 5. RASNZ Conference June 15-17
 6. Astronomer´s Dream: Home & Astronomy Income
 7. Venus Transit Photographers Sought
 8. Satellite Galaxies Threaten Dark Matter
 9. Find Hubble's Best Pictures
10. Yellow Supergiants Surveyed in LMC and M33
11. Solar 'Climate Change' Could Cause Rougher Space Weather
12. Earth's Minimoons
13. How to Join the RASNZ
14. Gifford-Eiby Lecture Fund
15. Kingdon-Tomlinson Fund
16. Here and There

==============================================================
1. Sun Viewers for Venus Transit
--------------------------------
Solar viewers suitable for observing the transit of Venus now available.
 
The RASNZ has sourced a supply of viewers that will be ideal for viewing 
the transit of Venus that will take place, and be visible from New Zealand 
weather permitting, on 6 June 2012.  
 
These viewers have been safety tested by one of the world's leading 
authorities on solar viewing devices and provide full eye protection when 
observing the Sun directly.  Note that the viewer should not be used in 
conjunction with any optical device such as telescope, binoculars, camera etc.  
 
During the transit, Venus is of sufficient apparent diameter to be able to 
be seen by eye through the filter.  Later in the year an eclipse of the 
Sun will occur and the viewer will also provide a safe and easy way to 
observe this event, too.  Each viewer is supplied with an information 
sheet about these two events. 
 
Order your Solar Viewers by going to: 
http://www.rasnz..org.nz/Sales/SolarViewers.html

-- Glen Rowe, President RASNZ.
----------------------------------

Jennie McCormick adds:

These handy viewers have been safety tested for RASNZ by Associate 
Professor Ralph Chou (School of Optometry, University of Waterloo, 
Ontario, Canada) for use during the Transit of Venus on the 6th of June 
and the Partial Eclipse on November 14th this year. 
 
Your astronomical society or group may like to place an order to sell the 
viewers to the local community - a perfect way to fundraise, to promote 
your group, or to use during your own organised events. 
 
There is nothing like exciting astronomical 'goings on' to stir the 
public's imagination and to get everyone along to check out what your 
group gets up to. 
 
To order online see http://www.rasnz.org.nz/Sales/SolarViewers.html

Orders for 1 to 9 viewers $2.50 each
Orders for 10 to 99 viewers $2.00 each
Orders for 100 or more viewers $1.50 each
All prices include postage and packing.
 
As these events will take place during the working week, family, friends, 
workmates and local schools might like to order a few, so please pass on 
the information.

===============================================================
2. The Solar System in May
--------------------------
The usual notes on the visibility of the Planets for May 2012 are on the 
RASNZ web site: http://www.rasnz.org.nz/SolarSys/May_12.htm.  Notes for 
June 2012 will be on line in a few days.

THE PLANETS IN MAY

Jupiter is at conjunction with the Sun on May 13, so will be too close to 
the Sun to observe during the month.  

Venus is low in the sky to the northwest following sunset early in the 
month but is much lower later in May.  Mars and Saturn are easy evening 
objects all month  

Mercury starts May as an easy morning object but disappears later in May.

PLANETS IN THE EVENING SKY

VENUS sets about 100 minutes after the Sun in the first part of the month 
so will be an obvious object, low to the northwest, after sunset.  The 
planet is stationary on May 16, after which it starts moving back to the 
west and towards the Sun.  As a result it will rapidly get lower in the 
evening sky to disappear before the end of May.  Inferior conjunction, 
with the transit of Venus, is of course on June 6. 

Venus is in Taurus throughout May, only a few degrees from El Nath, beta 
Tau, at magnitude 1.7 the second brightest star in the constellation.  The 
star and planet are closest on May 7 when they are less than a degree 
apart with Venus above El Nath.  During the next few evenings, while Venus 
is still moving to the east, the distance between the two increases 
slightly.  After being stationary, Venus will swing back again but now a 
little further above the star, but they remain less than 2 degrees apart 
up to the 20th.  By then El Nath will be so low it will be very difficult 
to see even in binoculars.

On the evening of May 23 the moon will be just under 6 degrees above 
Venus.  The moon will be a very thin crescent only 4% lit.  15 minutes 
after sunset, Venus will be to the northwest only 5 degrees above the 
horizon.  

MARS is highest and to the north about 8.30 pm on May 1 and 7.00 pm on the 
31st.  So it is best placed for observation early evening.  Later in the 
evening it will be to the northwest and lower.  Having been stationary in 
April, the planet will be moving steadily to the east through Leo.  This 
will take it away from Regulus, alpha Leo, their separation increasing to 
nearly 15 degrees by the end of May.          

The distance of the Earth from Mars increases from 141.5 million km on May 
1 to 177 million km on May 31.  Consequently the brightness of the planet 
drops from magnitude 0.0 to 0.5 during the month.  That is still 
considerably brighter than the 1.4 of Regulus. 

The 70% lit moon will be 7 degrees from Regulus and Mars on May 1.  The 
moon will be at the top of a near isosceles triangle formed by the three.  
On the 29th the moon will again be above Mars and a little closer to the 
planet.  The moon will then be just past first quarter. 

SATURN is following Mars across the evening sky.   It is highest at about 
11.30 pm at the beginning of May advancing to about 9.30 pm by the end of 
the month.  Saturn is nearly 20 degrees further south than Mars so will 
transit that much higher than the red planet.

Saturn will remain in Virgo during May, moving slowly in a retrograde 
sense to the west.  It will be 5°; from Spica, so the two forming an 
obvious pair with Saturn below Spica much of the evening.  By late evening 
the rotation of the sky will bring Saturn more round to the right of 
Spica. 

Saturn´s magnitude will drop from 0.3 to 0.5 during May, so it and Mars 
will be similar in brightness.   Spica is a little fainter than Saturn at 
magnitude 1.1. 

The moon, just short of full will be at its closest to Saturn and Spica on 
the evening of May 4.  At 9 pm the moon will be 5 degrees to the upper 
left of Spica and just over 8 degrees from Saturn. 


MORNING SKY

MERCURY is visible in the morning sky in the first part of May, the 
brightest object low in the sky about 20 degrees north of east.  During 
May, Mercury will be getting further from the Earth.   Even so it will 
brighten as it moves further round the Sun and becomes more fully lit. The 
planet´s altitude, as seen from Wellington 45 minutes before sunrise, will 
drop from 14 degrees on the 1st to 4 degrees on the 16th.  So by about the 
latter date it is likely to be lost to view despite being at magnitude -0.9.  
 
The planet is at superior conjunction on May 27 when it will be 198 
million km from the Earth, 46 million km from the Sun.  After conjunction 
it begins to move into the evening sky. 

About the middle of May, Mercury will move past the asteroid Vesta, 
magnitude 8.3.  The two will be moving on almost parallel paths, Mercury 
considerably faster than Vesta.  They are closest, 3 degrees apart, on the 
12th.  On the 11th the two will be at about the same level, Mercury to the 
left of Vesta.  A 4th magnitude star will be between them, just under 1 
degree from asteroid.  The following morning Mercury and Vesta will be 
closest, 3 degrees apart, with Mercury a little lower than Vesta and the 
star will be slightly higher.  It may be possible to see Vesta in 
binoculars an hour before sunrise when the Sun is 12 degrees below the 
horizon.

JUPITER moves into the morning sky after conjunction with the Sun on May 
13.  It will be too low to see for most of the month.  On the last morning 
of May Jupiter will rise one hour before the Sun.  Half an hour before 
sunrise at the beginning of civil twilight, it will be 5 degrees up in a 
direction some 30 degrees to the north of east. 

***********

URANUS, magnitude 5.9, starts May in Pisces but crosses into a corner of 
Cetus on the 12th.  At the beginning of the month it rises about 4.20 am 
and two hours earlier by the end of the month.   
 
NEPTUNE, magnitude 7.9, rises about 1.30 am on May 1 and before midnight 
by the end of the month.  The planet is in Aquarius throughout May.

BRIGHTER ASTEROIDS: 

Both Ceres and Vesta emerge from the Sun into the morning sky during May, 
with Vesta leading by 6 to 7 degrees. At the beginning of the month Vesta 
is 12 degrees from the Sun, Ceres only 6.  By the 31st the elongations 
will have increased to 27 degrees and 20 degrees respectively.  The 
magnitude of Ceres will be about 9 while Vesta is 8.4.   Both will be in 
Aries by the end of May. 

No other asteroids are within reach of binoculars during May.

More details and charts for these minor planets can be found on the RASNZ 
web site.  Follow the link to asteroids 2012.

===============================================================
3. RASNZ Annual General Meeting
-------------------------------
The 89th Annual General Meeting of the Royal Astronomical Society of New 
Zealand will be held on Saturday 16 June 2012 at the Carterton Events 
Centre, Carterton, beginning at the end of the conference proceedings for 
the day, about 4pm.  Notices of motion are invited and should reach the 
Executive Secretary by 5 May 2012.  
 
-- Rory O´Keeffe, Executive Secretary.

===============================================================
4. Third International Starlight Conference
--------------------------------------------
The Starlight Conference is at Lake Tekapo, 11-13 June 2012.  The website 
is accepting registrations and on-line requests to give an oral or poster 
paper. Visit www.starlight2012.org for full details.

It will be a multidisciplinary conference on the scientific and cultural 
benefits of observing dark starlit skies. The meeting will be 
of interest to RASNZ members and to many other interest groups in 
education, tourism, environmental protection and to those interested in 
the cultural and ethnic aspects of astronomy. As participation will be 
limited, early registration is encouraged.
 
The Starlight Conference is jointly hosted by the University of Canterbury 
and by RASNZ, and is being sponsored by the University of Canterbury, by 
RASNZ, by the Royal Society of NZ, by Endeavour Capital Ltd and by the NZ 
National Commission to UNESCO.

-- Abridged from a note by John Hearnshaw. 

===============================================================
5. RASNZ Conference June 15-17
------------------------------
Well, less than two months to go until Conference and things are coming 
together nicely. And our grateful thanks to The Phoenix Astronomical 
Society and the Carterton Events Centre for the work they are putting 
into this.

A reminder that registrations need to be in by 15 May to avoid the late 
registration fee. So if you haven't yet registered please do so as soon 
as possible. Additional information re accommodation and transport is 
available on the registration form. And all the information you may need 
is on the Conference link on the RASNZ Webpage - www.rasnz.org.nz

Don't forget the Astronomy Outreach Workshop that will run day time 
Friday. This will appeal to anyone who is involved in public and/or 
educational astronomy outreach. You can register for this at the same 
time you register for the main conference.

At the time I write this there is still room for a few more papers. One 
thing I'd like some feedback on is whether we should include a Transit 
of Venus results session (or part session) in the programme. Conference 
is just over a week following the transit, and people may have some 
great stories and observations to share. So thoughts please.

I think most of what needs to be covered re Conference has appeared in 
recent newsletters, and of course lots of information is available on 
the RASNZ Webpage. But of anyone does have any queries please contact us 
- conference@rasnz.org.nz - and we will be happy to assist. This is the 
main Conference for astronomers in NZ - amateur and professional. And 
the content of the programme should always reflect that - hopefully. 
There should be something for everyone.

As is now usual, we will be asking for feedback following Conference so 
we can strive to continually improve what we can offer. If there are any 
specific questions you would like us to solicit feedback from attendees 
on, please let us know as soon as possible.

In the meantime, however, please register as soon as possible. If you 
wish to give a paper/poster paper please submit this with some urgency, 
as the final deadline is fast approaching.

Look forward to seeing everyone in Carterton.

Dennis Goodman, Chair, RASNZ Standing Conference Committee

===============================================================
6. Astronomer´s Dream: Home & Astronomy Income
----------------------------------------------
New large 4 bedroom house (150 square meters - plus double garage) with 
separate self-contained studio accommodation business. Private spa pool.  
Observatory: 4 meter (school sized) observatory on front lawn housing 15-
inch Newtonian telescope. Parking for 3+ vehicles.  Established gardens 
including a banana grove at the rear of the property. 5 minutes walk to 
beautiful Baylys beach in affordable sunny Northland. 2 km to golf course. 
15 minutes to all the local amenities. Reluctantly selling due to a change 
in family circumstances and the need to relocate due to current family 
needs but would prefer not to have to dismantle the observatory and shut 
down the business. I would love to find someone else who could carry on 
the 'Astronomy Adventures' business. Please contact Deborah on 09 439 1856 
or by e-mail for more details  astronomy@igrin.co.nz . 

For a video made in 2010 where Astronomy Adventures featured on Marcus 
Lush North check out:
http://tvnz.co.nz/north/marcus-lush-goes-up-while-4009197
- episode 3 first ten minutes.

===============================================================
7. Venus Transit Photographers Sought
-------------------------------------
Jeff Baldwin of California seeks the cooperation of a NZ observer in 
obtaining the parallax of Venus from transit photography. Jeff writes: I 
am looking for somebody who will participate in photographing the transit 
at ten minute intervals as I will, after which we would exchange 
photographs. I teach an astronomy class, and this is an opportunity to 
measure the distance between the Earth and the Sun using the parallax 
shift observed in Venus´s position in front of the Sun by two observers on 
opposite sides of the Earth. I'm in California and there is a period of 
time in which the transit is visible to both of us, and we are nearly as 
stretched out on opposites as you can get.

For more information contact Jeff Baldwin baldjeff@comcast.net .

-- Rolf Carstens forwarded this request to the nzastronomers group.

===============================================================
8. Satellite Galaxies Threaten Dark Matter
------------------------------------------
Astronomers from the University of Bonn in Germany have discovered a vast 
structure of satellite galaxies and clusters of stars surrounding our 
galaxy, stretching out across a million light-years. The work challenges 
the existence of dark matter, part of the standard model for the evolution 
of the universe. 

The Milky Way consists of around three hundred thousand million stars as 
well as large amounts of gas and dust arranged with arms in a flat disk 
that wind out from a central bar. The diameter of the main part of the 
Milky Way is about 100,000 light years. A number of smaller satellite 
galaxies and globular clusters orbit at various distances from the main 
Galaxy.

Conventional models for the origin and evolution of the universe are based 
on the presence of 'dark matter', invisible material thought to make up 
about 23% of the content of the cosmos that has never been detected 
directly. In this model, the Milky Way is predicted to have far more 
satellite galaxies than are actually seen.

In their effort to understand exactly what surrounds our galaxy, the Bonn 
scientists used a range of sources from twentieth century photographic 
plates to images from the robotic telescope of the Sloan Deep Sky Survey. 
Using all this data they assembled a picture that includes bright 
'classical' satellite galaxies, more recently detected fainter satellites 
and the younger globular clusters.

The astronomers found that all the different objects are distributed in a 
plane at right angles to the galactic disk. The newly-discovered structure 
is huge, extending from as close as 33,000 light years to as far away as 
one million light years from the centre of the galaxy.

As the different companions move around the Milky Way, they lose material, 
stars and sometimes gas, which forms long streams along their paths. The 
new results show that this lost material is aligned with the plane of 
galaxies and clusters. This shows that the objects are not only situated 
within this plane right now, but that they move within it. The structure 
is stable.

The various dark matter models struggle to explain this arrangement. In 
the standard theories, the satellite galaxies would have formed as 
individual objects before being captured by the Milky Way. They would have 
come from many directions. So it is next to impossible for them to end up 
distributed in such a thin planar structure.

The team concluded that the satellite galaxies and clusters must have 
formed together in one major event, a collision of two galaxies. Such 
collisions are relatively common. They result in large chunks of galaxies 
being torn out due to gravitational and tidal forces. The forces act on 
the stars, gas and dust in the galaxies, forming tails that are the 
birthplaces of new objects like star clusters and dwarf galaxies.

The evidence indicates that the Milky Way collided with another galaxy in 
the distant past. The other galaxy lost part of its material, material 
that then formed our galaxy´s satellite galaxies, the younger globular 
clusters, and the bulge at the galactic centre. The companions we see 
today are the debris of this 11 billion year old collision.

The team assert that their model appears to rule out the presence of dark 
matter in the universe.  This threatens a central pillar of current 
cosmological theory. They see this as the beginning of a paradigm shift, 
one that will ultimately lead us to a new understanding of the universe we inhabit.

The work appears in "The VPOS: a vast polar structure of satellite 
galaxies, globular clusters and streams around the Milky Way", M. S. 
Pawlowski, J. Pflamm-Altenburg, P. Kroupa, Monthly Notices of the Royal 
Astronomical Society, in press. Preprint of the paper: 
http://arxiv.org/abs/1204.5176

For image and movies see
http://www.astro.uni-bonn.de/~mpawlow/pr2012.html. This animation is also 
available on YouTube at http://youtu.be/nUwxv-WGfHM.

-- From a Royal Astronomical Society [UK] press release forwarded by Karen Pollard.

---------------
For a view on dark matter's effect on the Milky Way see "Scientific 
American" October 2011, p.24.

===============================================================
9. Find Hubble's Best Pictures
-------------------------------
Since 1990, the Hubble Space Telescope has made more than a million 
observations. Many of these are featured on spacetelescope.org, and the 
most stunning are in our Top 100 gallery at 
<http://www.spacetelescope.org/images/archive/top100/>  and iPad app.

But there are thousands of pictures in Hubble´s science archive that have 
only been seen by a few scientists. We call these images Hubble´s hidden 
treasures - stunning images of astronomical phenomena that have never been 
seen and enjoyed by the public. Every week, we search the archive for 
hidden treasures, process the scientific data 
<http://www.spacetelescope.org/projects/hiddentreasures/imageprocessing/>  
into attractive images and publish them as the Hubble Picture of the Week 
<http://www.spacetelescope.org/images/potw/> . But the archive is so vast 
that nobody really knows the full extent of what Hubble has observed.

This is where you come in. Searching Hubble´s archive for hidden treasures 
is a lot of fun, and it's pretty straightforward, even if you don't have 
advanced knowledge. So we're inviting you to come and help us find iconic 
Hubble images that have never before been shown to the public. See 
<http://www.spacetelescope.org/projects/hiddentreasures/>

-- Thanks to Joan Gladwyn for passing this request along.

===============================================================
10. Yellow Supergiants Surveyed in LMC and M33
----------------------------------------------
Stars live for a long time, with even the most massive stars having
lifetimes measured in millions of years. But, for a mere few thousand 
years towards the end of their lives, some massive stars go through what 
astronomers call the yellow supergiant phase. This is remarkably short in 
astronomical terms, and, as a result, stars in this phase are incredibly 
rare. In a recent study, astronomers from Lowell Observatory have 
identified hundreds of these rare yellow supergiants, and their more long-
lived descendants, the red supergiants in two neighbouring galaxies.

The Lowell astronomers use these newly identified populations to provide a 
stringent observational test for the theoretical models which describe how 
these stars change from blue, to yellow and then to red. These constraints 
are vital because the behaviour of the models in this phase can influence 
many theoretical predictions, including something as basic as what types 
of stars explode as supernovae.

Nearby red supergiant stars include such well-known stars as Betelgeuse, 
Antares, and Mu Cephei, and yellow supergiant stars include names like 
Canopus and Rho Cassiopeiae, although these stars were not included in the study.

Using telescopes in Chile and Arizona the astronomers have observed a 
relatively complete set of red and yellow supergiants in the Large 
Magellanic Cloud (LMC) and M33. They compared their observations with 
computer models of stars derived by a group at Geneva Observatory, 
Switzerland. They found excellent agreement between their observed sample 
and theory in predicting the stellar lifetimes and general stellar 
properties during a critical period near the end of the stars' lifetimes. 
This is in contrast to studies from three years ago by the same teams that 
showed large discrepancies between yellow supergiant populations and a 
previous version of the Geneva evolutionary models.

These two studies were led by two young researchers at Lowell Observatory, 
Kathryn Neugent (lead for the LMC study) and Maria Drout (lead for the M33 
study). Both involve an international collaboration with Dr. Georges 
Meynet (Geneva Observatory), one of the world¹s experts in stellar 
evolution theory.

To astronomers, the Hertzsprung-Russell (HR) diagram -- a plot of the
intrinsic luminosity versus temperature of all stars -- is key to
understanding the evolution of stars. For most of their lives stars are 
fueled by hydrogen in their cores. During this time they are constant in 
brightness and temperature. This is called the main sequence phase. It is 
well understood.
However, there have been problems with understanding how the temperature 
and luminosity of a star rapidly changes as the core of the star is 
exhausted at the end of the stellar life. Understanding the late stages of 
stellar evolution is important for other questions, too. Yellow 
supergiants may be the progenitors of core-collapse supernovae, and 
understanding supernovae completely has important implications for 
cosmology.

Interpreting the HR diagram depends on mathematical models of a star's
interior, which indicate how stars of different masses change with age. 
These models, based on knowledge of the physics of nuclear reaction rates, 
predict how a star of a given mass will change in temperature and 
luminosity over its lifetime. The models require careful comparison with 
actual observations.

Suppose curious aliens visited Earth and, from a quick schoolyard survey, 
noted that human weight and height increase with age. The
aliens might propose a model for human growth in which weight and height 
increase smoothly with age, but this model would not allow for adolescent 
growth spurts or middle age. If they compared their model with further 
measurements of fast sprouting teenagers, they would be puzzled. This is 
akin to the problem astronomers have faced in understanding the red and 
yellow supergiants. Previous evolutional models predicted far too many 
yellow supergiants. Theoretical yellow supergiants seem to live much 
longer than the real stars in nature. This may resonate with those 
familiar with star names: it's easy to come up with examples of red 
supergiants like Betelgeuse.  It is more difficult to think of examples of 
yellow supergiants.  That's because yellow supergiant lifetimes are 
measured in only a few tens of thousands of years.

The Lowell group studied the supergiants in nearby galaxies, rather than 
our own Milky Way, to avoid the problems of identifying and characterizing 
stars at different distances. First, they selected stars based on their 
colours and angular motion across the sky. Then they looked at their 
spectra. The spectra show a star's radial velocity: motion towards or away 
from us. This is key to deciding which stars are actually foreground red 
and yellow stars in our own Milky Way galaxy masquerading as red 
supergiants in these other galaxies.

Published version of the LMC paper: ttp://lanl.arxiv.org/abs/1202.4225
Preprint of the M33 paper accepted for publication:
http://lanl.arxiv.org/abs/1203.0247
Text & Images: http://www.noao.edu/news/2012/pr1201.php


-- from a National Optical Astronomy Observatory press release forwarded 
by Karen Pollard. 

===============================================================
11. Solar 'Climate Change' Could Cause Rougher Space Weather
------------------------------------------------------------
Recent research shows that the space age has coincided with a period of 
unusually high solar activity, called a grand maximum. Isotopes in ice 
sheets and tree rings tell us that this grand solar maximum is one of 24 
during the last 9,300 years and suggest the high levels of solar magnetic 
field seen over the space age will reduce in future. This decline will 
cause a reduction in sunspot numbers and explosive solar events, but those 
events that do take place could be more damaging. Graduate student Luke 
Barnard of the University of Reading will present new results on 'solar 
climate change' in his paper at the National Astronomy Meeting in Manchester.

The level of radiation in the space environment is of great interest to 
scientists and engineers as it poses various threats to man-made systems 
including damage to electronics on satellites. It can also be a health 
hazard to astronauts and to a lesser extent the crew of high-altitude aircraft.

The main sources of radiation are galactic cosmic rays (GCRs), which are a 
continuous flow of highly energetic particles from outside our solar 
system and solar energetic particles (SEPs), which are accelerated to high 
energies in short bursts by explosive events on the Sun. The amount of 
radiation in the near-Earth environment from these two sources is partly 
controlled in a complicated way by the strength of the Sun's magnetic field.

There are theoretical predictions supported by observational evidence that 
a decline in the average strength of the Sun's magnetic field would lead 
to an increase in the amount of GCRs reaching near-Earth space. 
Furthermore there are predictions that, although a decline in solar 
activity would mean less frequent bursts of SEPs, the bursts that do occur 
would be larger and more harmful.

Currently spacecraft and aircraft are only designed and operated to offer 
suitable protection from the levels of radiation that have been observed 
over the course of the space age. A decline in solar activity would result 
in increased amounts of radiation in near-Earth space and therefore 
increased risk of harm to spacecraft and aircraft and the astronauts and 
aircraft crews that operate them.

By comparing this grand maximum with 24 previous examples, Mr. Barnard 
predicts that there is an 8% chance that solar activity will fall to the 
very low levels seen in the so-called 'Maunder minimum', a period during 
the seventeenth century when very few sunspots were seen. In this 
instance, the flux of GCRs would probably increase by a factor of 2.5 from 
present day values and the probability of observing a large SEP event will 
fall from the presently seen 5 down to 2 events per century.

However, the more probable scenario is that solar activity will decline to 
approximately half its current value in the next 40 years, in which case 
the flux of GCRs will increase by a factor of 1.5 and the probability of 
large SEP events to increase from the current value to 8 events per 
century. As a result the near-Earth space radiation environment will 
probably become more hazardous in the next 40 years.

In presenting his results, Mr. Barnard comments: "Radiation in space can 
be a serious issue for both people and the delicate electronic systems 
that society depends on. Our research shows that this problem is likely to 
get worse over the coming decades -- and that engineers will need to work 
even harder to mitigate its impact."
For text and images see 
http://www.jodrellbank.manchester.ac.uk/meetings/nam2012/pressreleases/nam12.html
-- from a Royal Astronomical Society [UK] press release forwarded by Karen Pollard. 
===============================================================
12. Earth's Minimoons
---------------------
Earth usually has more than one moon, according to a team of astronomers 
from the University of Helsinki, the Paris Observatory and the University 
of Hawaii at Manoa.

Our 3000 km-diameter Moon has been orbiting Earth for over 4 billion 
years. Its much smaller cousins, dubbed 'minimoons' are thought to be only 
a few feet across and to usually orbit our planet for less than a year 
before resuming their previous lives as asteroids orbiting the Sun.

The team calculated the probability that at any given time Earth has more 
than one moon. They used a supercomputer to simulate the passage of 10 
million asteroids past Earth. They then tracked the trajectories of the 
18,000 objects that were captured by Earth's gravity.
They concluded that at any given time there should be at least one 
asteroid with a diameter of at least one meter orbiting Earth. Of course, 
there may also be many smaller objects orbiting Earth, too.

According to the simulation, most asteroids that are captured by Earth's 
gravity would not orbit Earth in neat circles. Instead, they would follow 
complicated, twisting paths. This is because a minimoon would not be 
tightly held by Earth's gravity, so it would be tugged into a crazy path 
by the combined gravity of Earth, the Moon and the Sun. A minimoon would 
remain captured by Earth until one of those tugs breaks the pull of 
Earth's gravity, and the Sun once again takes control of the object¹s 
trajectory. While the typical minimoon would orbit Earth for about nine 
months, some of them could orbit our planet for decades.

In 2006, the University of Arizona's Catalina Sky Survey discovered a
minimoon about the size of a car. Designated 2006 RH120, it orbited Earth 
for less than a year after its discovery, then resumed orbiting the Sun.

The team's paper, "The population of natural Earth satellites" appears in 
the March issue of the journal Icarus.

-- From a University of Hawaii Institute of Astronomy press release 
forwarded by Karen Pollard.

===============================================================
13. How to Join the RASNZ
-------------------------
A membership application form and details can be found on the RASNZ
website http://www.rasnz.org.nz/InfoForm/membform.htm.
Please note that the weblink to membership forms is case sensitive.
Alternatively please send an email to the membership secretary
members@rasnz.org.nz for further information.

The annual subscription rate is $75. For overseas rates please check with 
the membership secretary, member@rasnz.org.nz.

================================================================
14. Gifford-Eiby Lecture Fund
-----------------------------
The RASNZ administers the Gifford-Eiby Memorial Lectureship Fund to
assist Affiliated Societies with travel costs of getting a lecturer
or instructor to their meetings.  Details are in RASNZ By-Laws Section H.

For an application form contact the Executive Secretary, secretary@rasnz.org.nz, 
R O'Keeffe, 662 Onewhero-Tuakau Bridge Rd, RD 2, TUAKAU 2697

=========================================================
15. Kingdon-Tomlinson Fund
--------------------------
The RASNZ is responsible for recommending to the trustees of the Kingdon 
Tomlinson Fund that grants be made for astronomical projects. The grants 
may be to any person or persons, or organisations, requiring funding for 
any projects or ventures that promote the progress of astronomy in New 
Zealand.  Full details are set down in the RASNZ By-Laws, Section J.

For an application form contact the RASNZ Executive Secretary, secretary@rasnz.org.nz
R O'Keeffe, 662 Onewhero-Tuakau Bridge Rd, RD 2, TUAKAU 2697

=========================================================
16. Here and There
------------------

MOST UNUSUAL
  The geology around Svalbard and Spitzbergen is most unusual. It has 
fossil evidence of trees that lived 300,000 million years ago. -- Exodus 
Travels, advertising brochure, 2011 April, p. 11.

=============================================================
Alan Gilmore               Phone: 03 680 6000
P.O. Box 57                alan.gilmore@canterbury.ac.nz
Lake Tekapo 7945
New Zealand
==========================
    
  

Return to RASNZ home page.